We're not actually as bad off as I thought
Only 3 points behind the leaders with a game in hand against Israel...
I think although the team hasn't performing well the team will scrape through.
Granted we have tough upcoming fixtures but 4 of them are at Wembley, we MUST beat Israel, and I think we will, if we don't though then I think we're out.
But if we win I think we're through, because I expect us to beat Russia at Wembley and get a draw away at least. Estonia should be a no-brainer and that only leaves Croatia which is a tough game.
The other teams' fixtures are relevant as well though.
Israel:
8 September 2007 England v Israel
13 October 2007 Croatia v Israel
17 November 2007 Israel v Russia
21 November 2007 Israel v FYR Macedonia
Croatia:
8 September 2007 Croatia vs. Estonia
12 September 2007 Andorra vs. Croatia
17 October 2007 Croatia vs. Israel
17 November 2007 FYR Macedonia vs. Croatia
21 November 2007 England vs. Croatia
Russia:
8 September 2007 Russia vs. FYR Macedonia
12 September 2007 England vs. Russia
17 October 2007 Russia vs. England
17 November 2007 Israel vs. Russia
21 November 2007 Israel vs. FYR Macedonia
Looking at those I think we can pretty much say Croatia have won the group, the only game they could possibly lose is against England, and I'd expect that to be a draw unless by that stage Croatia have already qualified in first and England need to win to qualify.
I think Israel will lose to England and Croatia (in Zagreb...) and at best they'll get a draw with Russia imo so I don't think they'll make it through.
Russia... I think we'll beat them at Wembley, and draw away. If Israel can grab a draw against them, then England should be set, because I think that would mean even with a draw against Croatia we'll qualify.
i wouldn't say it's a long-shot, the team certainly has to start performing better, but in reality we're only 1 pt off qualifying and we still are yet to even play that team (Russia). Of course this is assuming we turn things around and beat Israel and Russia in our next 2 fixtures, if we do I think we'll qualify.
If not we need a lot of luck.